← Matchups

Houston Christian

· 2-1 (1-0) · power -16.2 · #356
Our numberUNT -44.4 no book has priced this game

North Texas

AAC · 1-1 · power +20.8 · #32
Our side
MoneylineUNT to win ours 99%
Projected score 10–54 HCU – UNT
2026-09-26 · 7:30 PM DATCU Stadium · Denton, TX Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series North Texas lead 1–0 · 1 meeting since 2020
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 27 ranks apart
Houston Christian Huskies #202 rush offense North Texas Mean Green #175 run defense
Pass game edge North Texas Mean Green 178 ranks
Houston Christian Huskies #261 pass offense North Texas Mean Green #83 pass defense
Run game edge North Texas Mean Green 161 ranks
North Texas Mean Green #11 rush offense Houston Christian Huskies #172 run defense
Pass game edge North Texas Mean Green 72 ranks
North Texas Mean Green #16 pass offense Houston Christian Huskies #88 pass defense
Houston Christian Huskies Balanced · 55% run Ball-control North Texas Mean Green Balanced · 50% run Avg pace
Eric Morris · 22-16 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Houston Christian Huskies
LB Jayven Anderson 21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 7.0 TFL #25 LB
P Julian Maceri 5 punts · 45.2 yd avg #9 P
DL Calvin Kalu-Alexander 6 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #351 DL
DB Darius Bean 17 tkl · 1 PD #341 DB
North Texas Mean Green
K Dominic De Freitas 6 FG · 6 XP · 24 pts #3 K
RB Jahiem White 185 rush yds · 2 TD · 9 rec #10 RB
DB CJ Coombes 16 tkl · 1 PD #149 DB
DL David Onuoha 9 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #169 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Houston Christian Huskies -16.2 -7.9 -8.3 #356
North Texas Mean GreenAAC +20.8 +17.3 +3.6 #32

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Houston Christian offense vs North Texas defense-11.5 pts
North Texas offense vs Houston Christian defense+25.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.