Our side
MoneylineUNT to win
ours 19%
Projected score
33–24
UNT – TLSA
2026-10-01 · 9:00 PM
H. A. Chapman Stadium · Tulsa, OK
AAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Tulsa lead
17–9
· 26 meetings since 1957
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
37 ranks apart
North Texas Mean Green #11 rush offense
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #48 run defense
Pass game
edge North Texas Mean Green
115 ranks
North Texas Mean Green #16 pass offense
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #131 pass defense
Run game
even
18 ranks apart
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #157 rush offense
North Texas Mean Green #175 run defense
Pass game
edge North Texas Mean Green
109 ranks
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #192 pass offense
North Texas Mean Green #83 pass defense
North Texas Mean Green
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
Balanced · 55% run
Up-tempo
Eric Morris · 22-16 · offense-minded
Tre Lamb · 4-8
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
North Texas Mean Green
K
Dominic De Freitas
6 FG · 6 XP · 24 pts
#3 K
RB
Jahiem White
185 rush yds · 2 TD · 9 rec
#10 RB
DB
CJ Coombes
16 tkl · 1 PD
#149 DB
DL
David Onuoha
9 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#169 DL
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
DL
Thomas Davis
7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#9 DL
DL
Kyran Duhon
9 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#95 DL
LB
Dax Collins
19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#63 LB
LB
Chris Thompson Jr.
18 tkl
#106 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
North Texas offense vs Tulsa defense+11.5 pts
Tulsa offense vs North Texas defense-4.5 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.