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Tulane

AAC · 1-1 · power +13.0 · #66
Our numberARMY -4.6 no book has priced this game

Army

AAC · 1-1 (0-1 AAC) · power +12.9 · #69
Our side
MoneylineARMY to win ours 54%
Projected score 20–24 TULN – ARMY
2026-10-10 · 12:00 PM Michie Stadium · West Point, NY AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Tulane lead 14–10–1 · 25 meetings since 1953
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 40 ranks apart
Tulane Green Wave #119 rush offense Army Black Knights #159 run defense
Pass game edge Tulane Green Wave 103 ranks
Tulane Green Wave #63 pass offense Army Black Knights #166 pass defense
Run game even 6 ranks apart
Army Black Knights #86 rush offense Tulane Green Wave #80 run defense
Pass game edge Army Black Knights 115 ranks
Army Black Knights #25 pass offense Tulane Green Wave #140 pass defense
Tulane Green Wave Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg Army Black Knights Run-heavy · 87% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 98 rush ypg
Jon Sumrall · 43-12 Jeff Monken · 85-55

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tulane Green Wave
DB Kevin Adams III 21 tkl #105 DB
DB Jack Tchienchou 17 tkl · 1 PD #129 DB
LB Dickson Agu 23 tkl #85 LB
WR Destyn Hill 9 rec · 158 yds · 1 TD #122 WR
Army Black Knights
RB Godspower Nwawuihe 147 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #52 RB
LB Elijah Walton 15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #124 LB
QB Cale Hellums 150 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT #78 QB
WR Zach Mundell 3 rec · 47 yds · 1 TD #288 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tulane Green WaveAAC +13.0 -0.1 +13.1 #66
Army Black KnightsAAC +12.9 +4.3 +8.6 #69

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tulane offense vs Army defense-8.7 pts
Army offense vs Tulane defense-8.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,199 mi
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.