← Matchups

UAB

AAC · 1-1 · power -1.0 · #189
Our numberMEM -12.3 no book has priced this game

Memphis

AAC · 2-1 · power +15.2 · #55
Our side
MoneylineMEM to win ours 87%
Projected score 21–33 UAB – MEM
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Memphis, TN AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series UAB lead 11–7 · 18 meetings since 1997
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 9 ranks apart
UAB Blazers #77 rush offense Memphis Tigers #68 run defense
Pass game edge UAB Blazers 127 ranks
UAB Blazers #103 pass offense Memphis Tigers #230 pass defense
Run game edge Memphis Tigers 229 ranks
Memphis Tigers #15 rush offense UAB Blazers #244 run defense
Pass game edge Memphis Tigers 126 ranks
Memphis Tigers #132 pass offense UAB Blazers #258 pass defense
UAB Blazers Balanced · 52% run Ball-control Memphis Tigers Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 52 rush ypg
Trent Dilfer · 9-21 · offense-minded Ryan Silverfield · 50-24 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
UAB Blazers
K Jonah Delange 7 FG · 4 XP · 25 pts #6 K
LB Ike Esonwune 15 tkl #67 LB
LB Muaaz Byard 20 tkl · 1.5 TFL #126 LB
DB Jo'Tavion Pierce 11 tkl · 1 PD #244 DB
Memphis Tigers
TE Hunter Tipton 14 rec · 291 yds · 2 TD #1 TE
DL Elijah Kinsler 18 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #8 DL
RB Jaylin Carter 375 rush yds · 6 TD · 2 rec #5 RB
LB Zach Ruffin 24 tkl · 1.5 TFL #12 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
UAB BlazersAAC -1.0 +2.0 -3.0 #189
Memphis TigersAAC +15.2 +8.8 +6.4 #55

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
UAB offense vs Memphis defense-4.5 pts
Memphis offense vs UAB defense+11.8 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.