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Tulsa

AAC · 2-0 · power +4.8 · #124
Our numberNAVY -8.0 no book has priced this game

Navy

AAC · 1-1 (0-1 AAC) · power +9.1 · #91
Our side
MoneylineNAVY to win ours 65%
Projected score 22–30 TLSA – NAVY
2026-10-10 · 3:30 PM Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis, MD AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Navy lead 9–2 · 11 meetings since 2004
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 17 ranks apart
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #157 rush offense Navy Midshipmen #140 run defense
Pass game even 35 ranks apart
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #192 pass offense Navy Midshipmen #227 pass defense
Run game even 34 ranks apart
Navy Midshipmen #14 rush offense Tulsa Golden Hurricane #48 run defense
Pass game edge Navy Midshipmen 96 ranks
Navy Midshipmen #35 pass offense Tulsa Golden Hurricane #131 pass defense
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Balanced · 55% run Up-tempo Navy Midshipmen Run-heavy · 80% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 104 rush ypg
Tre Lamb · 4-8 Brian Newberry · 26-12 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
DL Thomas Davis 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #9 DL
DL Kyran Duhon 9 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #95 DL
LB Dax Collins 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #63 LB
LB Chris Thompson Jr. 18 tkl #106 LB
Navy Midshipmen
DL Aiden Lyczek 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #97 DL
LB MarcAnthony Parker 18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #61 LB
DL Griffen Willis 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #203 DL
TE Jordan Collins 2 rec · 68 yds · 1 TD #64 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tulsa Golden HurricaneAAC +4.8 -0.9 +5.8 #124
Navy MidshipmenAAC +9.1 +4.6 +4.5 #91

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tulsa offense vs Navy defense-5.4 pts
Navy offense vs Tulsa defense-1.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,080 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.