← Matchups

Memphis

AAC · 2-1 · power +15.2 · #55
Our numberTULN -1.3 no book has priced this game

Tulane

AAC · 1-1 · power +13.0 · #66
Our side
MoneylineMEM to win ours 49%
Projected score 24–26 MEM – TULN
2026-10-16 · 7:30 PM Yulman Stadium · New Orleans, LA AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Memphis lead 25–16–1 · 42 meetings since 1954
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Memphis Tigers 65 ranks
Memphis Tigers #15 rush offense Tulane Green Wave #80 run defense
Pass game even 8 ranks apart
Memphis Tigers #132 pass offense Tulane Green Wave #140 pass defense
Run game edge Memphis Tigers 51 ranks
Tulane Green Wave #119 rush offense Memphis Tigers #68 run defense
Pass game edge Tulane Green Wave 167 ranks
Tulane Green Wave #63 pass offense Memphis Tigers #230 pass defense
Memphis Tigers Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 52 rush ypg Tulane Green Wave Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Ryan Silverfield · 50-24 · offense-minded Jon Sumrall · 43-12

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Memphis Tigers
TE Hunter Tipton 14 rec · 291 yds · 2 TD #1 TE
DL Elijah Kinsler 18 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #8 DL
RB Jaylin Carter 375 rush yds · 6 TD · 2 rec #5 RB
LB Zach Ruffin 24 tkl · 1.5 TFL #12 LB
Tulane Green Wave
DB Kevin Adams III 21 tkl #105 DB
DB Jack Tchienchou 17 tkl · 1 PD #129 DB
LB Dickson Agu 23 tkl #85 LB
WR Destyn Hill 9 rec · 158 yds · 1 TD #122 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Memphis TigersAAC +15.2 +8.8 +6.4 #55
Tulane Green WaveAAC +13.0 -0.1 +13.1 #66

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Memphis offense vs Tulane defense-4.3 pts
Tulane offense vs Memphis defense-6.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.