← Matchups

Charlotte

AAC · 0-2 · power -10.3 · #299
Our numberTEM -20.0 no book has priced this game

Temple

AAC · 1-1 · power +8.3 · #92
Our side
MoneylineTEM to win ours 89%
Projected score 15–35 CLT – TEM
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD Lincoln Financial Field · Philadelphia, PA AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Temple lead 3–0 · 3 meetings since 2015
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 29 ranks apart
Charlotte 49ers #264 rush offense Temple Owls #235 run defense
Pass game even 1 ranks apart
Charlotte 49ers #234 pass offense Temple Owls #235 pass defense
Run game edge Temple Owls 99 ranks
Temple Owls #149 rush offense Charlotte 49ers #248 run defense
Pass game edge Temple Owls 161 ranks
Temple Owls #59 pass offense Charlotte 49ers #220 pass defense
Charlotte 49ers Balanced · 50% run Ball-control Temple Owls Balanced · 57% run Ball-control
Tim Albin · 35-30 K.C. Keeler · 17-19 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Charlotte 49ers
DB Collin Gill 16 tkl #49 DB
WR Jaylen Hampton 11 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD #124 WR
LB Gavin Willis 14 tkl · 2.5 TFL #184 LB
DL Curtis Simpson 9 tkl · 1.0 TFL #417 DL
Temple Owls
RB Keveun Mason 234 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #24 RB
DB Jamarcus Pierre 3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #107 DB
LB Curly Ordonez 20 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #68 LB
LB Tyree Alualu 5 tkl #81 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Charlotte 49ersAAC -10.3 -4.9 -5.4 #299
Temple OwlsAAC +8.3 +3.6 +4.7 #92

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Charlotte offense vs Temple defense-9.6 pts
Temple offense vs Charlotte defense+9.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 440 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.