Our side
MoneylineUSF to win
ours 91%
Projected score
16–39
KENT – USF
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD
Raymond James Stadium · Tampa, FL
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge South Florida Bulls
231 ranks
Kent State Golden Flashes #255 rush offense
South Florida Bulls #24 run defense
Pass game
edge South Florida Bulls
106 ranks
Kent State Golden Flashes #143 pass offense
South Florida Bulls #37 pass defense
Run game
edge South Florida Bulls
141 ranks
South Florida Bulls #56 rush offense
Kent State Golden Flashes #197 run defense
Pass game
edge South Florida Bulls
139 ranks
South Florida Bulls #5 pass offense
Kent State Golden Flashes #144 pass defense
Kent State Golden Flashes
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
South Florida Bulls
Balanced · 55% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 84 rush ypg
Mark Carney · 5-7
Kevin Patrick · 0-1
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Kent State Golden Flashes
DL
Jaihien Roy
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#51 DL
LB
Rocco Nicholl
13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#145 LB
LB
Hayden Dawahare
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#234 LB
QB
Dru DeShields
311 pass yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
#102 QB
South Florida Bulls
DL
C.J. Hicks
9 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#127 DL
DB
Ayden Jackson
16 tkl · 1 PD
#181 DB
QB
Michael Van Buren Jr.
339 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
#54 QB
WR
Bryson Rodgers
9 rec · 89 yds · 1 TD
#208 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Kent State offense vs South Florida defense-6.5 pts
South Florida offense vs Kent State defense+13.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 912 mi
Altitude · context only310 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.