← Matchups

Army

AAC · 1-1 (0-1 AAC) · power +12.9 · #69
Our numberARMY -3.1 no book has priced this game

Tulsa

AAC · 2-0 · power +4.8 · #124
Our side
MoneylineARMY to win ours 35%
Projected score 25–22 ARMY – TLSA
2026-10-23 · 8:30 PM H. A. Chapman Stadium · Tulsa, OK AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Tulsa lead 2–1 · 3 meetings since 2007
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 38 ranks apart
Army Black Knights #86 rush offense Tulsa Golden Hurricane #48 run defense
Pass game edge Army Black Knights 106 ranks
Army Black Knights #25 pass offense Tulsa Golden Hurricane #131 pass defense
Run game even 2 ranks apart
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #157 rush offense Army Black Knights #159 run defense
Pass game even 26 ranks apart
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #192 pass offense Army Black Knights #166 pass defense
Army Black Knights Run-heavy · 87% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 98 rush ypg Tulsa Golden Hurricane Balanced · 55% run Up-tempo
Jeff Monken · 85-55 Tre Lamb · 4-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Army Black Knights
RB Godspower Nwawuihe 147 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #52 RB
LB Elijah Walton 15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #124 LB
QB Cale Hellums 150 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT #78 QB
WR Zach Mundell 3 rec · 47 yds · 1 TD #288 WR
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
DL Thomas Davis 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #9 DL
DL Kyran Duhon 9 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #95 DL
LB Dax Collins 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #63 LB
LB Chris Thompson Jr. 18 tkl #106 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Army Black KnightsAAC +12.9 +4.3 +8.6 #69
Tulsa Golden HurricaneAAC +4.8 -0.9 +5.8 #124

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Army offense vs Tulsa defense-1.5 pts
Tulsa offense vs Army defense-9.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,234 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.