← Matchups

Tulane

AAC · 1-1 · power +13.0 · #66
Our numberTULN -20.0 no book has priced this game

Charlotte

AAC · 0-2 · power -10.3 · #299
Our side
MoneylineTULN to win ours 10%
Projected score 34–14 TULN – CLT
2026-10-30 · 7:00 PM Jerry Richardson Stadium · Charlotte, NC AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Tulane lead 2–0 · 2 meetings since 2024
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tulane Green Wave 129 ranks
Tulane Green Wave #119 rush offense Charlotte 49ers #248 run defense
Pass game edge Tulane Green Wave 157 ranks
Tulane Green Wave #63 pass offense Charlotte 49ers #220 pass defense
Run game edge Tulane Green Wave 184 ranks
Charlotte 49ers #264 rush offense Tulane Green Wave #80 run defense
Pass game edge Tulane Green Wave 94 ranks
Charlotte 49ers #234 pass offense Tulane Green Wave #140 pass defense
Tulane Green Wave Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg Charlotte 49ers Balanced · 50% run Ball-control
Jon Sumrall · 43-12 Tim Albin · 35-30

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tulane Green Wave
DB Kevin Adams III 21 tkl #105 DB
DB Jack Tchienchou 17 tkl · 1 PD #129 DB
LB Dickson Agu 23 tkl #85 LB
WR Destyn Hill 9 rec · 158 yds · 1 TD #122 WR
Charlotte 49ers
DB Collin Gill 16 tkl #49 DB
WR Jaylen Hampton 11 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD #124 WR
LB Gavin Willis 14 tkl · 2.5 TFL #184 LB
DL Curtis Simpson 9 tkl · 1.0 TFL #417 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tulane Green WaveAAC +13.0 -0.1 +13.1 #66
Charlotte 49ersAAC -10.3 -4.9 -5.4 #299

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tulane offense vs Charlotte defense+5.2 pts
Charlotte offense vs Tulane defense-18.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 659 mi
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.