Our side
MoneylineMEM to win
ours 60%
Projected score
23–25
ARMY – MEM
2026-10-31 · kickoff TBD
Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Memphis, TN
AAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Memphis lead
4–1
· 5 meetings since 1985
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
18 ranks apart
Army Black Knights #86 rush offense
Memphis Tigers #68 run defense
Pass game
edge Army Black Knights
205 ranks
Army Black Knights #25 pass offense
Memphis Tigers #230 pass defense
Run game
edge Memphis Tigers
144 ranks
Memphis Tigers #15 rush offense
Army Black Knights #159 run defense
Pass game
even
34 ranks apart
Memphis Tigers #132 pass offense
Army Black Knights #166 pass defense
Army Black Knights
Run-heavy · 87% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 98 rush ypg
Memphis Tigers
Balanced · 51% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 52 rush ypg
Jeff Monken · 85-55
Ryan Silverfield · 50-24 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Army Black Knights
RB
Godspower Nwawuihe
147 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
#52 RB
LB
Elijah Walton
15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#124 LB
QB
Cale Hellums
150 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
#78 QB
WR
Zach Mundell
3 rec · 47 yds · 1 TD
#288 WR
Memphis Tigers
TE
Hunter Tipton
14 rec · 291 yds · 2 TD
#1 TE
DL
Elijah Kinsler
18 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL
#8 DL
RB
Jaylin Carter
375 rush yds · 6 TD · 2 rec
#5 RB
LB
Zach Ruffin
24 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#12 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Army offense vs Memphis defense-2.1 pts
Memphis offense vs Army defense+0.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 969 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.