← Matchups

Charlotte

AAC · 0-2 · power -10.3 · #299
Our numberUAB -8.8 no book has priced this game

UAB

AAC · 1-1 · power -1.0 · #189
Our side
MoneylineUAB to win ours 75%
Projected score 21–30 CLT – UAB
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD Protective Stadium · Birmingham, AL AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series UAB and Charlotte split 4 (2–2) · 4 meetings since 2017
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 20 ranks apart
Charlotte 49ers #264 rush offense UAB Blazers #244 run defense
Pass game even 24 ranks apart
Charlotte 49ers #234 pass offense UAB Blazers #258 pass defense
Run game edge UAB Blazers 171 ranks
UAB Blazers #77 rush offense Charlotte 49ers #248 run defense
Pass game edge UAB Blazers 117 ranks
UAB Blazers #103 pass offense Charlotte 49ers #220 pass defense
Charlotte 49ers Balanced · 50% run Ball-control UAB Blazers Balanced · 52% run Ball-control
Tim Albin · 35-30 Trent Dilfer · 9-21 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Charlotte 49ers
DB Collin Gill 16 tkl #49 DB
WR Jaylen Hampton 11 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD #124 WR
LB Gavin Willis 14 tkl · 2.5 TFL #184 LB
DL Curtis Simpson 9 tkl · 1.0 TFL #417 DL
UAB Blazers
K Jonah Delange 7 FG · 4 XP · 25 pts #6 K
LB Ike Esonwune 15 tkl #67 LB
LB Muaaz Byard 20 tkl · 1.5 TFL #126 LB
DB Jo'Tavion Pierce 11 tkl · 1 PD #244 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Charlotte 49ersAAC -10.3 -4.9 -5.4 #299
UAB BlazersAAC -1.0 +2.0 -3.0 #189

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Charlotte offense vs UAB defense-2.0 pts
UAB offense vs Charlotte defense+7.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.