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Temple

AAC · 1-1 · power +8.3 · #92
Our numberNAVY -4.4 no book has priced this game

Navy

AAC · 1-1 (0-1 AAC) · power +9.1 · #91
Our side
MoneylineNAVY to win ours 56%
Projected score 23–28 TEM – NAVY
2026-11-07 · 3:30 PM Navy-Marine Corps Memorial Stadium · Annapolis, MD AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Navy lead 11–9 · 20 meetings since 1988
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 9 ranks apart
Temple Owls #149 rush offense Navy Midshipmen #140 run defense
Pass game edge Temple Owls 168 ranks
Temple Owls #59 pass offense Navy Midshipmen #227 pass defense
Run game edge Navy Midshipmen 221 ranks
Navy Midshipmen #14 rush offense Temple Owls #235 run defense
Pass game edge Navy Midshipmen 200 ranks
Navy Midshipmen #35 pass offense Temple Owls #235 pass defense
Temple Owls Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Navy Midshipmen Run-heavy · 80% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 104 rush ypg
K.C. Keeler · 17-19 · offense-minded Brian Newberry · 26-12 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Temple Owls
RB Keveun Mason 234 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #24 RB
DB Jamarcus Pierre 3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #107 DB
LB Curly Ordonez 20 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #68 LB
LB Tyree Alualu 5 tkl #81 LB
Navy Midshipmen
DL Aiden Lyczek 8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #97 DL
LB MarcAnthony Parker 18 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #61 LB
DL Griffen Willis 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #203 DL
TE Jordan Collins 2 rec · 68 yds · 1 TD #64 TE

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Temple OwlsAAC +8.3 +3.6 +4.7 #92
Navy MidshipmenAAC +9.1 +4.6 +4.5 #91

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Temple offense vs Navy defense-0.8 pts
Navy offense vs Temple defense-0.1 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.