← Matchups

Tulsa

AAC · 2-0 · power +4.8 · #124
Our numberTULN -11.5 no book has priced this game

Tulane

AAC · 1-1 · power +13.0 · #66
Our side
MoneylineTULN to win ours 73%
Projected score 18–30 TLSA – TULN
2026-11-07 · kickoff TBD Yulman Stadium · New Orleans, LA AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Tulsa lead 13–8 · 21 meetings since 1968
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tulane Green Wave 77 ranks
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #157 rush offense Tulane Green Wave #80 run defense
Pass game edge Tulane Green Wave 52 ranks
Tulsa Golden Hurricane #192 pass offense Tulane Green Wave #140 pass defense
Run game edge Tulsa Golden Hurricane 71 ranks
Tulane Green Wave #119 rush offense Tulsa Golden Hurricane #48 run defense
Pass game edge Tulane Green Wave 68 ranks
Tulane Green Wave #63 pass offense Tulsa Golden Hurricane #131 pass defense
Tulsa Golden Hurricane Balanced · 55% run Up-tempo Tulane Green Wave Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Tre Lamb · 4-8 Jon Sumrall · 43-12

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tulsa Golden Hurricane
DL Thomas Davis 7 tkl · 3.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #9 DL
DL Kyran Duhon 9 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #95 DL
LB Dax Collins 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #63 LB
LB Chris Thompson Jr. 18 tkl #106 LB
Tulane Green Wave
DB Kevin Adams III 21 tkl #105 DB
DB Jack Tchienchou 17 tkl · 1 PD #129 DB
LB Dickson Agu 23 tkl #85 LB
WR Destyn Hill 9 rec · 158 yds · 1 TD #122 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tulsa Golden HurricaneAAC +4.8 -0.9 +5.8 #124
Tulane Green WaveAAC +13.0 -0.1 +13.1 #66

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tulsa offense vs Tulane defense-14.0 pts
Tulane offense vs Tulsa defense-5.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 545 mi
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.