Our side
MoneylineARMY to win
ours 69%
Projected score
18–28
AF – ARMY
2026-11-07 · 7:30 PM
Michie Stadium · West Point, NY
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Air Force lead
38–21–1
· 60 meetings since 1959
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Air Force Falcons
125 ranks
Air Force Falcons #34 rush offense
Army Black Knights #159 run defense
Pass game
edge Air Force Falcons
163 ranks
Air Force Falcons #3 pass offense
Army Black Knights #166 pass defense
Run game
edge Army Black Knights
173 ranks
Army Black Knights #86 rush offense
Air Force Falcons #259 run defense
Pass game
edge Army Black Knights
230 ranks
Army Black Knights #25 pass offense
Air Force Falcons #255 pass defense
Air Force Falcons
Run-heavy · 80% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 92 rush ypg
Army Black Knights
Run-heavy · 87% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 98 rush ypg
Troy Calhoun · 80-53 · offense-minded
Jeff Monken · 85-55
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Air Force Falcons
LB
Blake Fletcher
21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#1 LB
P
Will Duncan
5 punts · 56.0 yd avg
#18 P
LB
Dallas Daley
12 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#238 LB
DB
Korey Johnson
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#501 DB
Army Black Knights
RB
Godspower Nwawuihe
147 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
#52 RB
LB
Elijah Walton
15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#124 LB
QB
Cale Hellums
150 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
#78 QB
WR
Zach Mundell
3 rec · 47 yds · 1 TD
#288 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Air Force offense vs Army defense-4.9 pts
Army offense vs Air Force defense+1.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,630 mi
Altitude · context only1,918 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.