Our side
MoneylineECU to win
ours 12%
Projected score
34–17
ECU – CLT
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD
Jerry Richardson Stadium · Charlotte, NC
AAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Charlotte lead
2–1
· 3 meetings since 2023
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge East Carolina Pirates
127 ranks
East Carolina Pirates #121 rush offense
Charlotte 49ers #248 run defense
Pass game
edge East Carolina Pirates
168 ranks
East Carolina Pirates #52 pass offense
Charlotte 49ers #220 pass defense
Run game
edge East Carolina Pirates
219 ranks
Charlotte 49ers #264 rush offense
East Carolina Pirates #45 run defense
Pass game
edge East Carolina Pirates
202 ranks
Charlotte 49ers #234 pass offense
East Carolina Pirates #32 pass defense
East Carolina Pirates
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Charlotte 49ers
Balanced · 50% run
Ball-control
Blake Harrell · 14-5
Tim Albin · 35-30
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
East Carolina Pirates
WR
Jeremiah Melvin
11 rec · 154 yds · 1 TD
#89 WR
DL
Kendrick DuJour
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#255 DL
DL
Torin Brazell
5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#307 DL
LB
Crews Law
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#220 LB
Charlotte 49ers
DB
Collin Gill
16 tkl
#49 DB
WR
Jaylen Hampton
11 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
#124 WR
LB
Gavin Willis
14 tkl · 2.5 TFL
#184 LB
DL
Curtis Simpson
9 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#417 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
East Carolina offense vs Charlotte defense+9.2 pts
Charlotte offense vs East Carolina defense-11.5 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.