Our side
MoneylineUTSA to win
ours 50%
Projected score
27–34
UNT – UTSA
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD
Alamodome · San Antonio, TX
AAC game
Indoors
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
UTSA lead
8–6
· 14 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge North Texas Mean Green
162 ranks
North Texas Mean Green #11 rush offense
UTSA Roadrunners #173 run defense
Pass game
edge North Texas Mean Green
193 ranks
North Texas Mean Green #16 pass offense
UTSA Roadrunners #209 pass defense
Run game
edge UTSA Roadrunners
124 ranks
UTSA Roadrunners #51 rush offense
North Texas Mean Green #175 run defense
Pass game
even
0 ranks apart
UTSA Roadrunners #83 pass offense
North Texas Mean Green #83 pass defense
North Texas Mean Green
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
UTSA Roadrunners
Balanced · 46% run
Ball-control
Eric Morris · 22-16 · offense-minded
Jeff Traylor · 53-26 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
North Texas Mean Green
K
Dominic De Freitas
6 FG · 6 XP · 24 pts
#3 K
RB
Jahiem White
185 rush yds · 2 TD · 9 rec
#10 RB
DB
CJ Coombes
16 tkl · 1 PD
#149 DB
DL
David Onuoha
9 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#169 DL
UTSA Roadrunners
LB
Brandon Tucker
18 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#78 LB
DB
Ahamad Chapman
3 tkl · 1 INT
#177 DB
WR
Mekhi Anderson
12 rec · 125 yds · 1 TD
#144 WR
WR
AJ Wilson Jr.
11 rec · 125 yds · 1 TD
#155 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
North Texas offense vs UTSA defense+10.1 pts
UTSA offense vs North Texas defense+8.3 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.