← Matchups

Tulane

AAC · 1-1 · power +13.0 · #66
Our numberTULN -9.1 no book has priced this game

Rice

AAC · 1-1 · power +3.0 · #139
Our side
MoneylineTULN to win ours 31%
Projected score 28–19 TULN – RICE
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD Rice Stadium · Houston, TX AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Rice lead 20–17–1 · 38 meetings since 1916
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Tulane Green Wave 98 ranks
Tulane Green Wave #119 rush offense Rice Owls #217 run defense
Pass game edge Tulane Green Wave 180 ranks
Tulane Green Wave #63 pass offense Rice Owls #243 pass defense
Run game edge Tulane Green Wave 91 ranks
Rice Owls #171 rush offense Tulane Green Wave #80 run defense
Pass game edge Tulane Green Wave 78 ranks
Rice Owls #218 pass offense Tulane Green Wave #140 pass defense
Tulane Green Wave Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg Rice Owls Run-heavy · 78% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Jon Sumrall · 43-12 Scott Abell · 5-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Tulane Green Wave
DB Kevin Adams III 21 tkl #105 DB
DB Jack Tchienchou 17 tkl · 1 PD #129 DB
LB Dickson Agu 23 tkl #85 LB
WR Destyn Hill 9 rec · 158 yds · 1 TD #122 WR
Rice Owls
DL Chibby Nwajuaku 9 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #148 DL
DL AJ Brown 10 tkl · 0.5 TFL #157 DL
DL Braden Bays 7 tkl · 2.0 TFL #345 DL
RB Quinton Jackson 61 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #224 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Tulane Green WaveAAC +13.0 -0.1 +13.1 #66
Rice OwlsAAC +3.0 -4.4 +7.4 #139

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Tulane offense vs Rice defense-7.6 pts
Rice offense vs Tulane defense-17.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.