Our side
MoneylineARMY to win
ours 61%
Projected score
20–28
ECU – ARMY
2026-11-21 · 12:00 PM
Michie Stadium · West Point, NY
AAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
East Carolina lead
9–1
· 10 meetings since 1995
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
38 ranks apart
East Carolina Pirates #121 rush offense
Army Black Knights #159 run defense
Pass game
edge East Carolina Pirates
114 ranks
East Carolina Pirates #52 pass offense
Army Black Knights #166 pass defense
Run game
even
41 ranks apart
Army Black Knights #86 rush offense
East Carolina Pirates #45 run defense
Pass game
even
7 ranks apart
Army Black Knights #25 pass offense
East Carolina Pirates #32 pass defense
East Carolina Pirates
Balanced · 53% run
Avg pace
Army Black Knights
Run-heavy · 87% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 98 rush ypg
Blake Harrell · 14-5
Jeff Monken · 85-55
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
East Carolina Pirates
WR
Jeremiah Melvin
11 rec · 154 yds · 1 TD
#89 WR
DL
Kendrick DuJour
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#255 DL
DL
Torin Brazell
5 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#307 DL
LB
Crews Law
12 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#220 LB
Army Black Knights
RB
Godspower Nwawuihe
147 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec
#52 RB
LB
Elijah Walton
15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#124 LB
QB
Cale Hellums
150 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT
#78 QB
WR
Zach Mundell
3 rec · 47 yds · 1 TD
#288 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
East Carolina offense vs Army defense-4.7 pts
Army offense vs East Carolina defense-2.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 440 mi
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.