← Matchups

North Texas

AAC · 1-1 · power +20.8 · #32
Our numberUNT -2.8 no book has priced this game

Tulane

AAC · 1-1 · power +13.0 · #66
Our side
MoneylineUNT to win ours 36%
Projected score 29–26 UNT – TULN
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD Yulman Stadium · New Orleans, LA AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Tulane lead 4–0 · 4 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge North Texas Mean Green 69 ranks
North Texas Mean Green #11 rush offense Tulane Green Wave #80 run defense
Pass game edge North Texas Mean Green 124 ranks
North Texas Mean Green #16 pass offense Tulane Green Wave #140 pass defense
Run game edge Tulane Green Wave 56 ranks
Tulane Green Wave #119 rush offense North Texas Mean Green #175 run defense
Pass game even 20 ranks apart
Tulane Green Wave #63 pass offense North Texas Mean Green #83 pass defense
North Texas Mean Green Balanced · 50% run Avg pace Tulane Green Wave Balanced · 57% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 47 rush ypg
Eric Morris · 22-16 · offense-minded Jon Sumrall · 43-12

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
North Texas Mean Green
K Dominic De Freitas 6 FG · 6 XP · 24 pts #3 K
RB Jahiem White 185 rush yds · 2 TD · 9 rec #10 RB
DB CJ Coombes 16 tkl · 1 PD #149 DB
DL David Onuoha 9 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #169 DL
Tulane Green Wave
DB Kevin Adams III 21 tkl #105 DB
DB Jack Tchienchou 17 tkl · 1 PD #129 DB
LB Dickson Agu 23 tkl #85 LB
WR Destyn Hill 9 rec · 158 yds · 1 TD #122 WR

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
North Texas Mean GreenAAC +20.8 +17.3 +3.6 #32
Tulane Green WaveAAC +13.0 -0.1 +13.1 #66

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
North Texas offense vs Tulane defense+4.2 pts
Tulane offense vs North Texas defense-3.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 472 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.