← Matchups

UTSA

AAC · 2-0 · power +19.0 · #42
Our numberUTSA -17.3 no book has priced this game

UAB

AAC · 1-1 · power -1.0 · #189
Our side
MoneylineUTSA to win ours 13%
Projected score 37–20 UTSA – UAB
2026-11-21 · kickoff TBD Protective Stadium · Birmingham, AL AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series UAB and UTSA split 8 (4–4) · 8 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge UTSA Roadrunners 193 ranks
UTSA Roadrunners #51 rush offense UAB Blazers #244 run defense
Pass game edge UTSA Roadrunners 175 ranks
UTSA Roadrunners #83 pass offense UAB Blazers #258 pass defense
Run game edge UAB Blazers 96 ranks
UAB Blazers #77 rush offense UTSA Roadrunners #173 run defense
Pass game edge UAB Blazers 106 ranks
UAB Blazers #103 pass offense UTSA Roadrunners #209 pass defense
UTSA Roadrunners Balanced · 46% run Ball-control UAB Blazers Balanced · 52% run Ball-control
Jeff Traylor · 53-26 · offense-minded Trent Dilfer · 9-21 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
UTSA Roadrunners
LB Brandon Tucker 18 tkl · 0.5 TFL #78 LB
DB Ahamad Chapman 3 tkl · 1 INT #177 DB
WR Mekhi Anderson 12 rec · 125 yds · 1 TD #144 WR
WR AJ Wilson Jr. 11 rec · 125 yds · 1 TD #155 WR
UAB Blazers
K Jonah Delange 7 FG · 4 XP · 25 pts #6 K
LB Ike Esonwune 15 tkl #67 LB
LB Muaaz Byard 20 tkl · 1.5 TFL #126 LB
DB Jo'Tavion Pierce 11 tkl · 1 PD #244 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
UTSA RoadrunnersAAC +19.0 +11.8 +7.2 #42
UAB BlazersAAC -1.0 +2.0 -3.0 #189

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
UTSA offense vs UAB defense+14.8 pts
UAB offense vs UTSA defense-5.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 744 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.