← Matchups

Temple

AAC · 1-1 · power +8.3 · #92
Our numberMEM -6.5 no book has priced this game

Memphis

AAC · 2-1 · power +15.2 · #55
Our side
MoneylineMEM to win ours 70%
Projected score 23–30 TEM – MEM
2026-11-27 · kickoff TBD Simmons Bank Liberty Stadium · Memphis, TN AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Memphis lead 5–4 · 9 meetings since 2013
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Memphis Tigers 81 ranks
Temple Owls #149 rush offense Memphis Tigers #68 run defense
Pass game edge Temple Owls 171 ranks
Temple Owls #59 pass offense Memphis Tigers #230 pass defense
Run game edge Memphis Tigers 220 ranks
Memphis Tigers #15 rush offense Temple Owls #235 run defense
Pass game edge Memphis Tigers 103 ranks
Memphis Tigers #132 pass offense Temple Owls #235 pass defense
Temple Owls Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Memphis Tigers Balanced · 51% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 52 rush ypg
K.C. Keeler · 17-19 · offense-minded Ryan Silverfield · 50-24 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Temple Owls
RB Keveun Mason 234 rush yds · 2 TD · 3 rec #24 RB
DB Jamarcus Pierre 3 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #107 DB
LB Curly Ordonez 20 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #68 LB
LB Tyree Alualu 5 tkl #81 LB
Memphis Tigers
TE Hunter Tipton 14 rec · 291 yds · 2 TD #1 TE
DL Elijah Kinsler 18 tkl · 3.5 sacks · 4.5 TFL #8 DL
RB Jaylin Carter 375 rush yds · 6 TD · 2 rec #5 RB
LB Zach Ruffin 24 tkl · 1.5 TFL #12 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Temple OwlsAAC +8.3 +3.6 +4.7 #92
Memphis TigersAAC +15.2 +8.8 +6.4 #55

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Temple offense vs Memphis defense-2.8 pts
Memphis offense vs Temple defense+4.1 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 875 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.