← Matchups

Army

AAC · 1-1 (0-1 AAC) · power +12.9 · #69
Our numberARMY -10.0 no book has priced this game

Rice

AAC · 1-1 · power +3.0 · #139
Our side
MoneylineARMY to win ours 31%
Projected score 28–18 ARMY – RICE
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD Rice Stadium · Houston, TX AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Army lead 5–4–1 · 10 meetings since 1958
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Army Black Knights 131 ranks
Army Black Knights #86 rush offense Rice Owls #217 run defense
Pass game edge Army Black Knights 218 ranks
Army Black Knights #25 pass offense Rice Owls #243 pass defense
Run game even 12 ranks apart
Rice Owls #171 rush offense Army Black Knights #159 run defense
Pass game edge Army Black Knights 52 ranks
Rice Owls #218 pass offense Army Black Knights #166 pass defense
Army Black Knights Run-heavy · 87% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 98 rush ypg Rice Owls Run-heavy · 78% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Jeff Monken · 85-55 Scott Abell · 5-8

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Army Black Knights
RB Godspower Nwawuihe 147 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #52 RB
LB Elijah Walton 15 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #124 LB
QB Cale Hellums 150 pass yds · 2 TD · 0 INT #78 QB
WR Zach Mundell 3 rec · 47 yds · 1 TD #288 WR
Rice Owls
DL Chibby Nwajuaku 9 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #148 DL
DL AJ Brown 10 tkl · 0.5 TFL #157 DL
DL Braden Bays 7 tkl · 2.0 TFL #345 DL
RB Quinton Jackson 61 rush yds · 2 TD · 1 rec #224 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Army Black KnightsAAC +12.9 +4.3 +8.6 #69
Rice OwlsAAC +3.0 -4.4 +7.4 #139

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Army offense vs Rice defense-3.1 pts
Rice offense vs Army defense-13.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,444 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.