← Matchups

UAB

AAC · 1-1 · power -1.0 · #189
Our numberUNT -18.5 no book has priced this game

North Texas

AAC · 1-1 · power +20.8 · #32
Our side
MoneylineUNT to win ours 93%
Projected score 20–39 UAB – UNT
2026-11-28 · kickoff TBD DATCU Stadium · Denton, TX AAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series UAB lead 6–3 · 9 meetings since 1995
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge UAB Blazers 98 ranks
UAB Blazers #77 rush offense North Texas Mean Green #175 run defense
Pass game even 20 ranks apart
UAB Blazers #103 pass offense North Texas Mean Green #83 pass defense
Run game edge North Texas Mean Green 233 ranks
North Texas Mean Green #11 rush offense UAB Blazers #244 run defense
Pass game edge North Texas Mean Green 242 ranks
North Texas Mean Green #16 pass offense UAB Blazers #258 pass defense
UAB Blazers Balanced · 52% run Ball-control North Texas Mean Green Balanced · 50% run Avg pace
Trent Dilfer · 9-21 · offense-minded Eric Morris · 22-16 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
UAB Blazers
K Jonah Delange 7 FG · 4 XP · 25 pts #6 K
LB Ike Esonwune 15 tkl #67 LB
LB Muaaz Byard 20 tkl · 1.5 TFL #126 LB
DB Jo'Tavion Pierce 11 tkl · 1 PD #244 DB
North Texas Mean Green
K Dominic De Freitas 6 FG · 6 XP · 24 pts #3 K
RB Jahiem White 185 rush yds · 2 TD · 9 rec #10 RB
DB CJ Coombes 16 tkl · 1 PD #149 DB
DL David Onuoha 9 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #169 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
UAB BlazersAAC -1.0 +2.0 -3.0 #189
North Texas Mean GreenAAC +20.8 +17.3 +3.6 #32

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
UAB offense vs North Texas defense-1.6 pts
North Texas offense vs UAB defense+20.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 598 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.