← Matchups

Fordham

· 0-3 (0-1) · power -18.4 · #369
Our numberNDSU -41.3 no book has priced this game

North Dakota State

· 3-0 · power +18.9 · #43
Final FOR 0 · NDSU 38 ML W Spread L Total W our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineNDSU to win logged ours 99%

Our number: NDSU by 52.8 — NDSU to win.

Projected score 5–46 FOR – NDSU
2026-09-05 · 3:30 PM Fargodome · Fargo, ND Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book FOR spreadNDSU spread OverUnder FOR winNDSU win FOR TT overFOR TT under NDSU TT overNDSU TT under
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured 8 days ago spread FOR 98% bets · 71% money total Under 75% bets · 92% money
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge North Dakota State Bison 128 ranks
Fordham Rams #186 rush offense North Dakota State Bison #58 run defense
Pass game edge North Dakota State Bison 251 ranks
Fordham Rams #252 pass offense North Dakota State Bison #1 pass defense
Run game even 27 ranks apart
North Dakota State Bison #8 rush offense Fordham Rams #35 run defense
Pass game edge North Dakota State Bison 195 ranks
North Dakota State Bison #2 pass offense Fordham Rams #197 pass defense
Fordham Rams Balanced · 45% run Avg pace North Dakota State Bison Run-heavy · 67% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 60 rush ypg

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Fordham Rams
LB Andrew Osmun 29 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL #5 LB
DB Justin Johnson 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #34 DB
DL Lorenzo Riddick 9 tkl · 1.5 sacks · 2.0 TFL #125 DL
DL Jakub Mwangelwa 7 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #141 DL
North Dakota State Bison
K Drew Klein 6 FG · 13 XP · 31 pts #7 K
DB Marion Moore 3 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT #110 DB
DL Kelton McCaslin 6 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL #133 DL
LB Donovan Woolen 22 tkl #93 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Fordham Rams -18.4 -14.0 -4.3 #369
North Dakota State Bison +18.9 +9.1 +9.8 #43

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Fordham offense vs North Dakota State defense-23.8 pts
North Dakota State offense vs Fordham defense+13.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,211 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.