Our side
MoneylineHAW to win
ours 42%
Projected score
25–22
HAW – WYO
2026-09-26 · 3:00 PM
War Memorial Stadium · Laramie, WY
MWC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Wyoming lead
17–12
· 29 meetings since 1978
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Wyoming Cowboys
109 ranks
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors #205 rush offense
Wyoming Cowboys #96 run defense
Pass game
edge Wyoming Cowboys
71 ranks
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors #97 pass offense
Wyoming Cowboys #26 pass defense
Run game
edge Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
97 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 rush offense
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors #125 run defense
Pass game
edge Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
77 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 pass offense
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors #145 pass defense
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
Balanced · 42% run
Avg pace
Wyoming Cowboys
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Timmy Chang · 22-29
Jay Sawvel · 7-17 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
DB
Kona Moore
30 tkl · 2 PD
#13 DB
RB
DeVon Rice
167 rush yds · 3 TD · 10 rec
#23 RB
LB
Jamih Otis
26 tkl
#53 LB
DB
Matagi Thompson
15 tkl · 4 PD
#122 DB
Wyoming Cowboys
DL
Esaia Bogar
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#25 DL
LB
Ethan Stuhlsatz
26 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#18 LB
DB
Jones Thomas
13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#94 DB
DL
Jack Dunkley
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#328 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Hawai'i offense vs Wyoming defense-6.6 pts
Wyoming offense vs Hawai'i defense-12.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 3,322 mi
Altitude · context only2,196 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.