← Matchups

UNLV

MWC · 1-2 (1-0 MWC) · power +10.0 · #85
Our numberUNLV -1.5 no book has priced this game

Akron

MAC · 1-1 · power +2.3 · #149
Our side
MoneylineUNLV to win ours 38%
Projected score 26–25 UNLV – AKR
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD InfoCision Stadium · Akron, OH Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 42 ranks apart
UNLV Rebels #20 rush offense Akron Zips #62 run defense
Pass game edge UNLV Rebels 72 ranks
UNLV Rebels #50 pass offense Akron Zips #122 pass defense
Run game even 18 ranks apart
Akron Zips #215 rush offense UNLV Rebels #233 run defense
Pass game edge UNLV Rebels 55 ranks
Akron Zips #201 pass offense UNLV Rebels #146 pass defense
UNLV Rebels Balanced · 52% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 48 rush ypg Akron Zips Balanced · 50% run Ball-control
Dan Mullen · 67-34 · offense-minded Joe Moorhead · 27-47 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
UNLV Rebels
DB Tre Fulton 21 tkl · 1 PD #28 DB
DB Jake Pope 23 tkl · 1 PD #62 DB
RB Jai'Den Thomas 224 rush yds · 1 TD · 7 rec #69 RB
DB Denver Harris 10 tkl · 2 PD #212 DB
Akron Zips
TE Elijah Alexander 7 rec · 61 yds · 3 TD #9 TE
QB Cibastian Broughton 338 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT #17 QB
DL Omari Abor 8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #84 DL
RB Sean Patrick 100 rush yds · 6 rec #134 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
UNLV RebelsMWC +10.0 +1.9 +8.1 #85
Akron ZipsMAC +2.3 +1.9 +0.4 #149

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
UNLV offense vs Akron defense+1.5 pts
Akron offense vs UNLV defense-6.2 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,839 mi
Altitude · context only350 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.