Our side
MoneylineNDSU to win
ours 87%
Projected score
15–33
WYO – NDSU
2026-10-03 · 3:30 PM
Fargodome · Fargo, ND
Indoors
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Wyoming lead
1–0
· 1 meeting since 2008
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge North Dakota State Bison
164 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 rush offense
North Dakota State Bison #58 run defense
Pass game
edge North Dakota State Bison
221 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 pass offense
North Dakota State Bison #1 pass defense
Run game
edge North Dakota State Bison
88 ranks
North Dakota State Bison #8 rush offense
Wyoming Cowboys #96 run defense
Pass game
even
24 ranks apart
North Dakota State Bison #2 pass offense
Wyoming Cowboys #26 pass defense
Wyoming Cowboys
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
North Dakota State Bison
Run-heavy · 67% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 60 rush ypg
Jay Sawvel · 7-17 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Wyoming Cowboys
DL
Esaia Bogar
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#25 DL
LB
Ethan Stuhlsatz
26 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#18 LB
DB
Jones Thomas
13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#94 DB
DL
Jack Dunkley
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#328 DL
North Dakota State Bison
K
Drew Klein
6 FG · 13 XP · 31 pts
#7 K
DB
Marion Moore
3 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#110 DB
DL
Kelton McCaslin
6 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#133 DL
LB
Donovan Woolen
22 tkl
#93 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Wyoming offense vs North Dakota State defense-19.2 pts
North Dakota State offense vs Wyoming defense+3.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 581 mi
Altitude · context only1,926 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyHome team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.