Our side
MoneylineAF to win
ours 30%
Projected score
26–22
AF – WYO
2026-10-23 · 9:00 PM
War Memorial Stadium · Laramie, WY
MWC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Air Force lead
32–28–3
· 63 meetings since 1957
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Air Force Falcons
62 ranks
Air Force Falcons #34 rush offense
Wyoming Cowboys #96 run defense
Pass game
even
23 ranks apart
Air Force Falcons #3 pass offense
Wyoming Cowboys #26 pass defense
Run game
even
37 ranks apart
Wyoming Cowboys #222 rush offense
Air Force Falcons #259 run defense
Pass game
even
33 ranks apart
Wyoming Cowboys #222 pass offense
Air Force Falcons #255 pass defense
Air Force Falcons
Run-heavy · 80% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 92 rush ypg
Wyoming Cowboys
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Troy Calhoun · 80-53 · offense-minded
Jay Sawvel · 7-17 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Air Force Falcons
LB
Blake Fletcher
21 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#1 LB
P
Will Duncan
5 punts · 56.0 yd avg
#18 P
LB
Dallas Daley
12 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#238 LB
DB
Korey Johnson
6 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT
#501 DB
Wyoming Cowboys
DL
Esaia Bogar
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#25 DL
LB
Ethan Stuhlsatz
26 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#18 LB
DB
Jones Thomas
13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#94 DB
DL
Jack Dunkley
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#328 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Air Force offense vs Wyoming defense-2.0 pts
Wyoming offense vs Air Force defense-12.6 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.