Our side
MoneylineNDSU to win
ours 85%
Projected score
20–37
UTEP – NDSU
2026-10-31 · 3:30 PM
Fargodome · Fargo, ND
Indoors
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge North Dakota State Bison
119 ranks
UTEP Miners #177 rush offense
North Dakota State Bison #58 run defense
Pass game
edge North Dakota State Bison
249 ranks
UTEP Miners #250 pass offense
North Dakota State Bison #1 pass defense
Run game
edge North Dakota State Bison
51 ranks
North Dakota State Bison #8 rush offense
UTEP Miners #59 run defense
Pass game
edge North Dakota State Bison
112 ranks
North Dakota State Bison #2 pass offense
UTEP Miners #114 pass defense
UTEP Miners
Balanced · 50% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
North Dakota State Bison
Run-heavy · 67% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 60 rush ypg
Scotty Walden · 6-22 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
UTEP Miners
TE
Cash Cheeks
3 rec · 51 yds · 2 TD
#55 TE
QB
EJ Colson Jr.
291 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#73 QB
RB
Tavorus Jones
128 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec
#205 RB
DL
Derek Burns
4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#516 DL
North Dakota State Bison
K
Drew Klein
6 FG · 13 XP · 31 pts
#7 K
DB
Marion Moore
3 tkl · 2 PD · 2 INT
#110 DB
DL
Kelton McCaslin
6 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#133 DL
LB
Donovan Woolen
22 tkl
#93 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
UTEP offense vs North Dakota State defense-9.3 pts
North Dakota State offense vs UTEP defense+11.6 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,165 mi
Altitude · context only908 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.