Our side
MoneylineUNLV to win
ours 83%
Projected score
18–30
WYO – UNLV
2026-11-07 · 10:30 PM
Allegiant Stadium · Las Vegas, NV
MWC game
Indoors
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Wyoming lead
14–13
· 27 meetings since 1978
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
11 ranks apart
Wyoming Cowboys #222 rush offense
UNLV Rebels #233 run defense
Pass game
edge UNLV Rebels
76 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 pass offense
UNLV Rebels #146 pass defense
Run game
edge UNLV Rebels
76 ranks
UNLV Rebels #20 rush offense
Wyoming Cowboys #96 run defense
Pass game
even
24 ranks apart
UNLV Rebels #50 pass offense
Wyoming Cowboys #26 pass defense
Wyoming Cowboys
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
UNLV Rebels
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 48 rush ypg
Jay Sawvel · 7-17 · defense-minded
Dan Mullen · 67-34 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Wyoming Cowboys
DL
Esaia Bogar
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#25 DL
LB
Ethan Stuhlsatz
26 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#18 LB
DB
Jones Thomas
13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#94 DB
DL
Jack Dunkley
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#328 DL
UNLV Rebels
DB
Tre Fulton
21 tkl · 1 PD
#28 DB
DB
Jake Pope
23 tkl · 1 PD
#62 DB
RB
Jai'Den Thomas
224 rush yds · 1 TD · 7 rec
#69 RB
DB
Denver Harris
10 tkl · 2 PD
#212 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Wyoming offense vs UNLV defense-17.5 pts
UNLV offense vs Wyoming defense-3.8 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 631 mi
Altitude · context only1,535 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
Rest · context onlyAway team on 8 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.