← Matchups

Wyoming

MWC · 1-1 (0-1 MWC) · power -3.7 · #225
Our numberUTEP -4.1 no book has priced this game

UTEP

CUSA · 1-1 · power -2.1 · #199
Our side
MoneylineUTEP to win ours 59%
Projected score 23–27 WYO – UTEP
2026-11-14 · kickoff TBD Sun Bowl · El Paso, TX Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Wyoming lead 26–6–1 · 33 meetings since 1962
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge UTEP Miners 163 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 rush offense UTEP Miners #59 run defense
Pass game edge UTEP Miners 108 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 pass offense UTEP Miners #114 pass defense
Run game edge Wyoming Cowboys 81 ranks
UTEP Miners #177 rush offense Wyoming Cowboys #96 run defense
Pass game edge Wyoming Cowboys 224 ranks
UTEP Miners #250 pass offense Wyoming Cowboys #26 pass defense
Wyoming Cowboys Balanced · 52% run Avg pace UTEP Miners Balanced · 50% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 44 rush ypg
Jay Sawvel · 7-17 · defense-minded Scotty Walden · 6-22 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Wyoming Cowboys
DL Esaia Bogar 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #25 DL
LB Ethan Stuhlsatz 26 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL #18 LB
DB Jones Thomas 13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT #94 DB
DL Jack Dunkley 7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL #328 DL
UTEP Miners
TE Cash Cheeks 3 rec · 51 yds · 2 TD #55 TE
QB EJ Colson Jr. 291 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT #73 QB
RB Tavorus Jones 128 rush yds · 1 TD · 4 rec #205 RB
DL Derek Burns 4 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #516 DL

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Wyoming CowboysMWC -3.7 -9.4 +5.7 #225
UTEP MinersCUSA -2.1 +0.4 -2.5 #199

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Wyoming offense vs UTEP defense-6.9 pts
UTEP offense vs Wyoming defense-5.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 661 mi
Altitude · context only1,017 m lower than the visitor's home elevation

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.