Our side
MoneylineUNM to win
ours 20%
Projected score
32–16
UNM – WYO
2026-11-21 · 9:00 PM
War Memorial Stadium · Laramie, WY
MWC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Wyoming lead
41–36
· 77 meetings since 1930
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
13 ranks apart
New Mexico Lobos #109 rush offense
Wyoming Cowboys #96 run defense
Pass game
edge Wyoming Cowboys
89 ranks
New Mexico Lobos #115 pass offense
Wyoming Cowboys #26 pass defense
Run game
edge New Mexico Lobos
149 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 rush offense
New Mexico Lobos #73 run defense
Pass game
edge New Mexico Lobos
123 ranks
Wyoming Cowboys #222 pass offense
New Mexico Lobos #99 pass defense
New Mexico Lobos
Balanced · 56% run
Avg pace
Wyoming Cowboys
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Jason Eck · 9-4
Jay Sawvel · 7-17 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
New Mexico Lobos
RB
Scottre Humphrey
174 rush yds · 3 TD
#64 RB
TE
Cade Keith
5 rec · 91 yds · 1 TD
#46 TE
DL
Brett Karhu
4 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#260 DL
K
Grant Glasgow
3 FG · 10 XP · 19 pts
#43 K
Wyoming Cowboys
DL
Esaia Bogar
12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#25 DL
LB
Ethan Stuhlsatz
26 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#18 LB
DB
Jones Thomas
13 tkl · 1 PD · 2 INT
#94 DB
DL
Jack Dunkley
7 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.5 TFL
#328 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
New Mexico offense vs Wyoming defense+3.4 pts
Wyoming offense vs New Mexico defense-12.4 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 435 mi
Altitude · context only646 m higher than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.