← Matchups

Sacramento State

· 1-2 · power -4.1 · #233
Our numberEMU -13.9 no book has priced this game

Eastern Michigan

MAC · 1-2 · power -3.8 · #227
Final SAC 17 · EMU 28 ML L Spread L Total L our logged sides, graded on the record
Our side
MoneylineSAC to win logged live now: EMU to win — the pick stands, the number moved · ours 78%

Our number: SAC by 0.0 — SAC to win.

Projected score 21–34 SAC – EMU
2026-08-29 · 6:30 PM Rynearson Stadium · Ypsilanti, MI Early season

The books 5 account books · tap any price — the ticket builds at that book

Book SAC spreadEMU spread OverUnder SAC winEMU win SAC TT overSAC TT under EMU TT overEMU TT under
DraftKings
FanDuel
BetMGM
ESPN Bet
Caesars

The gold price is the best available on that side; a gold marks the side our number implies — a read, not a pick. TT is a team total — that team’s own points, not the game’s; columns are empty where no book hangs one. Send to book opens whichever book you tapped, not the one we would have picked. Prices are the books’ own.

Public vs booksbets vs money · Action Network captured in-game spread EMU 69% bets · 72% money total Under 83% bets · 59% money ML EMU 98% bets · 96% money
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Sacramento State Hornets 222 ranks
Sacramento State Hornets #7 rush offense Eastern Michigan Eagles #229 run defense
Pass game even 34 ranks apart
Sacramento State Hornets #159 pass offense Eastern Michigan Eagles #193 pass defense
Run game edge Eastern Michigan Eagles 78 ranks
Eastern Michigan Eagles #75 rush offense Sacramento State Hornets #153 run defense
Pass game even 22 ranks apart
Eastern Michigan Eagles #109 pass offense Sacramento State Hornets #87 pass defense
Sacramento State Hornets Run-heavy · 73% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 32 rush ypg Eastern Michigan Eagles Balanced · 52% run Avg pace
Chris Creighton · 59-73 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Sacramento State Hornets
WR Matt Coleman 14 rec · 232 yds · 3 TD #62 WR
DB Boogsie Silvera 23 tkl #279 DB
WR Onterrio Smith Jr. 16 rec · 172 yds #183 WR
DB Amari Wallace 17 tkl #422 DB
Eastern Michigan Eagles
LB Zach Mowchan 30 tkl · 2.0 TFL #6 LB
DL Quincy Byas 12 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #18 DL
DB Jason Marshall 20 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #41 DB
DB Bryce Llewellyn 14 tkl · 2 PD #67 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Sacramento State Hornets -4.1 -0.7 -3.4 #233
Eastern Michigan EaglesMAC -3.8 -4.1 +0.3 #227

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Sacramento State offense vs Eastern Michigan defense-1.0 pts
Eastern Michigan offense vs Sacramento State defense-0.7 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 1,987 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.