Our side
MoneylineBALL to win
ours 48%
Projected score
27–27
BALL – KENT
2026-09-26 · kickoff TBD
Zoeller Field at Dix Stadium · Kent, OH
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Ball State lead
25–8
· 33 meetings since 1977
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
28 ranks apart
Ball State Cardinals #225 rush offense
Kent State Golden Flashes #197 run defense
Pass game
edge Kent State Golden Flashes
118 ranks
Ball State Cardinals #262 pass offense
Kent State Golden Flashes #144 pass defense
Run game
even
35 ranks apart
Kent State Golden Flashes #255 rush offense
Ball State Cardinals #220 run defense
Pass game
edge Kent State Golden Flashes
55 ranks
Kent State Golden Flashes #143 pass offense
Ball State Cardinals #198 pass defense
Ball State Cardinals
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 50 rush ypg
Kent State Golden Flashes
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Mike Uremovich · 4-8 · defense-minded
Mark Carney · 5-7
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Ball State Cardinals
DB
Anthony Pinnace
6 tkl · 1 PD
#261 DB
TE
Tate Hoover
6 rec · 23 yds · 1 TD
#70 TE
RB
Jalen Bonds
86 rush yds · 1 TD · 2 rec
#211 RB
DB
Kamron Chamble
4 tkl · 2 INT
#507 DB
Kent State Golden Flashes
DL
Jaihien Roy
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#51 DL
LB
Rocco Nicholl
13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#145 LB
LB
Hayden Dawahare
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#234 LB
QB
Dru DeShields
311 pass yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
#102 QB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Ball State offense vs Kent State defense+4.7 pts
Kent State offense vs Ball State defense+2.1 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.