Our side
MoneylineEMU to win
ours 88%
Projected score
17–38
LIN – EMU
2026-09-26 · 1:00 PM
Rynearson Stadium · Ypsilanti, MI
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Lindenwood Lions
49 ranks
Lindenwood Lions #180 rush offense
Eastern Michigan Eagles #229 run defense
Pass game
edge Lindenwood Lions
133 ranks
Lindenwood Lions #60 pass offense
Eastern Michigan Eagles #193 pass defense
Run game
edge Eastern Michigan Eagles
95 ranks
Eastern Michigan Eagles #75 rush offense
Lindenwood Lions #170 run defense
Pass game
edge Eastern Michigan Eagles
63 ranks
Eastern Michigan Eagles #109 pass offense
Lindenwood Lions #172 pass defense
Lindenwood Lions
Run-heavy · 58% run
Ball-control
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Chris Creighton · 59-73 · offense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Lindenwood Lions
DL
Mason Burke
8 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.5 TFL
#152 DL
DL
King Smith
8 tkl · 2.5 sacks · 4.0 TFL
#182 DL
DB
Isaac Edwards
7 tkl · 1 INT
#378 DB
DL
David Amaliri
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#451 DL
Eastern Michigan Eagles
LB
Zach Mowchan
30 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#6 LB
DL
Quincy Byas
12 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#18 DL
DB
Jason Marshall
20 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#41 DB
DB
Bryce Llewellyn
14 tkl · 2 PD
#67 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Lindenwood offense vs Eastern Michigan defense-5.2 pts
Eastern Michigan offense vs Lindenwood defense+3.0 pts
Efficiency adjustment · EPA, success rate, explosiveness+1.4 pts
Power projection before adjustment+20.2
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 433 mi
Rest · context onlyAway team on 7 more days rest
The projection carries an efficiency adjustment —
a residual from season-to-date EPA, success rate and explosiveness, which earned its place by
walk-forward test (margin error 12.90 → 12.72 across seven held-out seasons).
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.