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Stonehill

· 1-2 (1-0) · power -17.0 · #360
Our numberOHIO -32.5 no book has priced this game

Ohio

MAC · 1-1 · power +5.7 · #113
Our side
MoneylineOHIO to win ours 96%
Projected score 9–41 STO – OHIO
2026-09-26 · 3:30 PM Peden Stadium · Athens, OH Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Ohio Bobcats 139 ranks
Stonehill Skyhawks #249 rush offense Ohio Bobcats #110 run defense
Pass game edge Ohio Bobcats 97 ranks
Stonehill Skyhawks #202 pass offense Ohio Bobcats #105 pass defense
Run game edge Ohio Bobcats 127 ranks
Ohio Bobcats #66 rush offense Stonehill Skyhawks #193 run defense
Pass game edge Stonehill Skyhawks 134 ranks
Ohio Bobcats #155 pass offense Stonehill Skyhawks #21 pass defense
Stonehill Skyhawks Run-heavy · 59% run Ball-control Ohio Bobcats Run-heavy · 62% run Avg pace Dual-threat QB · 70 rush ypg
John Hauser · 1-0

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Stonehill Skyhawks
TE Cole Clarke 11 rec · 169 yds · 1 TD #26 TE
DL Christopher Gill 12 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #261 DL
LB Caden Henritzy 21 tkl · 1.0 TFL #163 LB
DB Mo Seide 13 tkl · 1 PD · 1 INT #267 DB
Ohio Bobcats
DL Ike Ackerman 13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #34 DL
DL Tyler Gillison 6 tkl · 1.5 TFL #117 DL
WR Riley Neer 10 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD #74 WR
LB Jack Fries 19 tkl · 0.5 TFL #82 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Stonehill Skyhawks -17.0 -14.7 -2.2 #360
Ohio BobcatsMAC +5.7 +3.1 +2.6 #113

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Stonehill offense vs Ohio defense-17.3 pts
Ohio offense vs Stonehill defense+5.3 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 606 mi

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.