Our side
MoneylineWMU to win
ours 13%
Projected score
34–15
WMU – BUF
2026-10-03 · kickoff TBD
Broadview Stadium · Buffalo, NY
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Western Michigan lead
9–2
· 11 meetings since 1999
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Buffalo Bulls
53 ranks
Western Michigan Broncos #105 rush offense
Buffalo Bulls #52 run defense
Pass game
edge Buffalo Bulls
129 ranks
Western Michigan Broncos #235 pass offense
Buffalo Bulls #106 pass defense
Run game
edge Western Michigan Broncos
198 ranks
Buffalo Bulls #245 rush offense
Western Michigan Broncos #47 run defense
Pass game
edge Western Michigan Broncos
131 ranks
Buffalo Bulls #182 pass offense
Western Michigan Broncos #51 pass defense
Western Michigan Broncos
Run-heavy · 69% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 72 rush ypg
Buffalo Bulls
Balanced · 46% run
Avg pace
Lance Taylor · 20-19 · defense-minded
Pete Lembo · 17-20 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Western Michigan Broncos
DL
Austin Alexander
6 tkl
#111 DL
K
Dieter Kelly
4 FG · 7 XP · 19 pts
#29 K
DB
Joey Pope
9 tkl · 3 PD
#232 DB
LB
Domanick Moon
13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#166 LB
Buffalo Bulls
WR
Chance Morrow
18 rec · 221 yds · 5 TD
#6 WR
LB
SaVeon Brown
16 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#66 LB
LB
Stevie Bracey
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#118 LB
DL
Logan Goodwin
2 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#231 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Western Michigan offense vs Buffalo defense+3.7 pts
Buffalo offense vs Western Michigan defense-16.4 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.