Our side
MoneylineM-OH to win
ours 37%
Projected score
27–25
M-OH – MASS
2026-10-10 · kickoff TBD
Warren McGuirk Alumni Stadium · Amherst, MA
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Miami (OH) lead
5–1
· 6 meetings since 2012
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Miami (OH) RedHawks
66 ranks
Miami (OH) RedHawks #156 rush offense
Massachusetts Minutemen #222 run defense
Pass game
edge Miami (OH) RedHawks
104 ranks
Miami (OH) RedHawks #160 pass offense
Massachusetts Minutemen #264 pass defense
Run game
edge Miami (OH) RedHawks
172 ranks
Massachusetts Minutemen #246 rush offense
Miami (OH) RedHawks #74 run defense
Pass game
edge Miami (OH) RedHawks
183 ranks
Massachusetts Minutemen #257 pass offense
Miami (OH) RedHawks #74 pass defense
Miami (OH) RedHawks
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 49 rush ypg
Massachusetts Minutemen
Balanced · 51% run
Ball-control
Chuck Martin · 70-64 · defense-minded
Joe Harasymiak · 0-12
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Miami (OH) RedHawks
QB
David McComb
474 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#62 QB
WR
Damarion Witten
3 rec · 100 yds · 2 TD
#203 WR
TE
Christian Ross
4 rec · 52 yds · 1 TD
#81 TE
WR
Lynel Billups-Williams
8 rec · 104 yds · 1 TD
#266 WR
Massachusetts Minutemen
DB
Jahmad Harmon
3 tkl · 3 INT
#42 DB
QB
William Watson III
349 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#19 QB
DB
Zeraun Daniel
12 tkl · 1 PD
#225 DB
RB
Elijah Faulkner
134 rush yds · 2 rec
#133 RB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Miami (OH) offense vs Massachusetts defense+4.5 pts
Massachusetts offense vs Miami (OH) defense-3.0 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 666 mi
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.