Our side
MoneylineBALL to win
ours 47%
Projected score
28–24
BALL – BGSU
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD
Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Bowling Green, OH
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Bowling Green lead
21–9–1
· 31 meetings since 1968
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Bowling Green Falcons
97 ranks
Ball State Cardinals #225 rush offense
Bowling Green Falcons #128 run defense
Pass game
edge Bowling Green Falcons
71 ranks
Ball State Cardinals #262 pass offense
Bowling Green Falcons #191 pass defense
Run game
even
32 ranks apart
Bowling Green Falcons #188 rush offense
Ball State Cardinals #220 run defense
Pass game
even
1 ranks apart
Bowling Green Falcons #199 pass offense
Ball State Cardinals #198 pass defense
Ball State Cardinals
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 50 rush ypg
Bowling Green Falcons
Run-heavy · 63% run
Ball-control
Mike Uremovich · 4-8 · defense-minded
Eddie George · 4-8 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Ball State Cardinals
DB
Anthony Pinnace
6 tkl · 1 PD
#261 DB
TE
Tate Hoover
6 rec · 23 yds · 1 TD
#70 TE
RB
Jalen Bonds
86 rush yds · 1 TD · 2 rec
#211 RB
DB
Kamron Chamble
4 tkl · 2 INT
#507 DB
Bowling Green Falcons
DB
Kal-El Pascal
22 tkl · 1 PD
#29 DB
LB
Dorian Pringle
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#41 LB
TE
Jeremiah Scoby
12 rec · 121 yds
#25 TE
DB
JoJo Johnson
9 tkl · 1 INT
#359 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Ball State offense vs Bowling Green defense-5.0 pts
Bowling Green offense vs Ball State defense-8.1 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.