← Matchups

Toledo

MAC · 1-1 · power +14.5 · #57
Our numberTOL -16.7 no book has priced this game

Eastern Michigan

MAC · 1-2 · power -3.8 · #227
Our side
MoneylineTOL to win ours 16%
Projected score 34–17 TOL – EMU
2026-10-17 · kickoff TBD Rynearson Stadium · Ypsilanti, MI MAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Toledo lead 37–13 · 50 meetings since 1972
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Toledo Rockets 159 ranks
Toledo Rockets #70 rush offense Eastern Michigan Eagles #229 run defense
Pass game edge Toledo Rockets 127 ranks
Toledo Rockets #66 pass offense Eastern Michigan Eagles #193 pass defense
Run game edge Toledo Rockets 52 ranks
Eastern Michigan Eagles #75 rush offense Toledo Rockets #23 run defense
Pass game edge Toledo Rockets 105 ranks
Eastern Michigan Eagles #109 pass offense Toledo Rockets #4 pass defense
Toledo Rockets Balanced · 55% run Ball-control Eastern Michigan Eagles Balanced · 52% run Avg pace
Robert Weiner · 0-1 Chris Creighton · 59-73 · offense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Toledo Rockets
LB Isaac Zay 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #14 LB
DL Andrew Zock 9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #68 DL
WR Adjatay Dabbs 8 rec · 135 yds · 3 TD #59 WR
RB Connor Walendzak 110 rush yds · 2 TD · 4 rec #67 RB
Eastern Michigan Eagles
LB Zach Mowchan 30 tkl · 2.0 TFL #6 LB
DL Quincy Byas 12 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #18 DL
DB Jason Marshall 20 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT #41 DB
DB Bryce Llewellyn 14 tkl · 2 PD #67 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Toledo RocketsMAC +14.5 +6.8 +7.6 #57
Eastern Michigan EaglesMAC -3.8 -4.1 +0.3 #227

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Toledo offense vs Eastern Michigan defense+6.6 pts
Eastern Michigan offense vs Toledo defense-11.7 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.