Our side
MoneylineBUF to win
ours 51%
Projected score
28–25
BGSU – BUF
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD
Broadview Stadium · Buffalo, NY
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Bowling Green lead
13–9
· 22 meetings since 2000
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Buffalo Bulls
136 ranks
Bowling Green Falcons #188 rush offense
Buffalo Bulls #52 run defense
Pass game
edge Buffalo Bulls
93 ranks
Bowling Green Falcons #199 pass offense
Buffalo Bulls #106 pass defense
Run game
edge Bowling Green Falcons
117 ranks
Buffalo Bulls #245 rush offense
Bowling Green Falcons #128 run defense
Pass game
even
9 ranks apart
Buffalo Bulls #182 pass offense
Bowling Green Falcons #191 pass defense
Bowling Green Falcons
Run-heavy · 63% run
Ball-control
Buffalo Bulls
Balanced · 46% run
Avg pace
Eddie George · 4-8 · defense-minded
Pete Lembo · 17-20 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Bowling Green Falcons
DB
Kal-El Pascal
22 tkl · 1 PD
#29 DB
LB
Dorian Pringle
23 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#41 LB
TE
Jeremiah Scoby
12 rec · 121 yds
#25 TE
DB
JoJo Johnson
9 tkl · 1 INT
#359 DB
Buffalo Bulls
WR
Chance Morrow
18 rec · 221 yds · 5 TD
#6 WR
LB
SaVeon Brown
16 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#66 LB
LB
Stevie Bracey
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#118 LB
DL
Logan Goodwin
2 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#231 DL
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Bowling Green offense vs Buffalo defense-6.6 pts
Buffalo offense vs Bowling Green defense-8.2 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.