← Matchups

Western Michigan

MAC · 1-1 · power +16.8 · #49
Our numberTOL -0.9 no book has priced this game

Toledo

MAC · 1-1 · power +14.5 · #57
Our side
MoneylineWMU to win ours 49%
Projected score 23–24 WMU – TOL
2026-10-24 · kickoff TBD Glass Bowl · Toledo, OH MAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Toledo lead 39–24 · 63 meetings since 1962
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Toledo Rockets 82 ranks
Western Michigan Broncos #105 rush offense Toledo Rockets #23 run defense
Pass game edge Toledo Rockets 231 ranks
Western Michigan Broncos #235 pass offense Toledo Rockets #4 pass defense
Run game even 23 ranks apart
Toledo Rockets #70 rush offense Western Michigan Broncos #47 run defense
Pass game even 15 ranks apart
Toledo Rockets #66 pass offense Western Michigan Broncos #51 pass defense
Western Michigan Broncos Run-heavy · 69% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 72 rush ypg Toledo Rockets Balanced · 55% run Ball-control
Lance Taylor · 20-19 · defense-minded Robert Weiner · 0-1

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Western Michigan Broncos
DL Austin Alexander 6 tkl #111 DL
K Dieter Kelly 4 FG · 7 XP · 19 pts #29 K
DB Joey Pope 9 tkl · 3 PD #232 DB
LB Domanick Moon 13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #166 LB
Toledo Rockets
LB Isaac Zay 19 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #14 LB
DL Andrew Zock 9 tkl · 0.5 sacks · 1.5 TFL #68 DL
WR Adjatay Dabbs 8 rec · 135 yds · 3 TD #59 WR
RB Connor Walendzak 110 rush yds · 2 TD · 4 rec #67 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Western Michigan BroncosMAC +16.8 +3.4 +13.4 #49
Toledo RocketsMAC +14.5 +6.8 +7.6 #57

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Western Michigan offense vs Toledo defense-4.2 pts
Toledo offense vs Western Michigan defense-6.5 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.