Our side
MoneylineKENT to win
ours 40%
Projected score
33–29
KENT – SAC
2026-10-30 · 10:30 PM
Hornet Stadium · Sacramento, CA
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
First recorded meeting between these programs
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Sacramento State Hornets
102 ranks
Kent State Golden Flashes #255 rush offense
Sacramento State Hornets #153 run defense
Pass game
edge Sacramento State Hornets
56 ranks
Kent State Golden Flashes #143 pass offense
Sacramento State Hornets #87 pass defense
Run game
edge Sacramento State Hornets
190 ranks
Sacramento State Hornets #7 rush offense
Kent State Golden Flashes #197 run defense
Pass game
even
15 ranks apart
Sacramento State Hornets #159 pass offense
Kent State Golden Flashes #144 pass defense
Kent State Golden Flashes
Balanced · 57% run
Ball-control
Sacramento State Hornets
Run-heavy · 73% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 32 rush ypg
Mark Carney · 5-7
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Kent State Golden Flashes
DL
Jaihien Roy
6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#51 DL
LB
Rocco Nicholl
13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#145 LB
LB
Hayden Dawahare
10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#234 LB
QB
Dru DeShields
311 pass yds · 1 TD · 2 INT
#102 QB
Sacramento State Hornets
WR
Matt Coleman
14 rec · 232 yds · 3 TD
#62 WR
DB
Boogsie Silvera
23 tkl
#279 DB
WR
Onterrio Smith Jr.
16 rec · 172 yds
#183 WR
DB
Amari Wallace
17 tkl
#422 DB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Kent State offense vs Sacramento State defense+6.7 pts
Sacramento State offense vs Kent State defense+3.9 pts
Travel · context onlyAway team travels 2,116 mi
Altitude · context only309 m lower than the visitor's home elevation
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.