← Matchups

Bowling Green

MAC · 0-2 · power -1.8 · #194
Our numberWMU -19.5 no book has priced this game

Western Michigan

MAC · 1-1 · power +16.8 · #49
Our side
MoneylineWMU to win ours 89%
Projected score 14–33 BGSU – WMU
2026-10-31 · 12:00 PM Waldo Stadium · Kalamazoo, MI MAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Bowling Green lead 29–19–2 · 50 meetings since 1962
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Western Michigan Broncos 141 ranks
Bowling Green Falcons #188 rush offense Western Michigan Broncos #47 run defense
Pass game edge Western Michigan Broncos 148 ranks
Bowling Green Falcons #199 pass offense Western Michigan Broncos #51 pass defense
Run game even 23 ranks apart
Western Michigan Broncos #105 rush offense Bowling Green Falcons #128 run defense
Pass game even 44 ranks apart
Western Michigan Broncos #235 pass offense Bowling Green Falcons #191 pass defense
Bowling Green Falcons Run-heavy · 63% run Ball-control Western Michigan Broncos Run-heavy · 69% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 72 rush ypg
Eddie George · 4-8 · defense-minded Lance Taylor · 20-19 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Bowling Green Falcons
DB Kal-El Pascal 22 tkl · 1 PD #29 DB
LB Dorian Pringle 23 tkl · 1.5 TFL #41 LB
TE Jeremiah Scoby 12 rec · 121 yds #25 TE
DB JoJo Johnson 9 tkl · 1 INT #359 DB
Western Michigan Broncos
DL Austin Alexander 6 tkl #111 DL
K Dieter Kelly 4 FG · 7 XP · 19 pts #29 K
DB Joey Pope 9 tkl · 3 PD #232 DB
LB Domanick Moon 13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #166 LB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Bowling Green FalconsMAC -1.8 -6.9 +5.1 #194
Western Michigan BroncosMAC +16.8 +3.4 +13.4 #49

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Bowling Green offense vs Western Michigan defense-20.3 pts
Western Michigan offense vs Bowling Green defense-1.7 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.