Our side
MoneylineM-OH to win
ours 72%
Projected score
21–32
BUF – M-OH
2026-11-03 · 7:00 PM
Yager Stadium · Oxford, OH
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Miami (OH) lead
17–9
· 26 meetings since 1999
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Miami (OH) RedHawks
171 ranks
Buffalo Bulls #245 rush offense
Miami (OH) RedHawks #74 run defense
Pass game
edge Miami (OH) RedHawks
108 ranks
Buffalo Bulls #182 pass offense
Miami (OH) RedHawks #74 pass defense
Run game
edge Buffalo Bulls
104 ranks
Miami (OH) RedHawks #156 rush offense
Buffalo Bulls #52 run defense
Pass game
edge Buffalo Bulls
54 ranks
Miami (OH) RedHawks #160 pass offense
Buffalo Bulls #106 pass defense
Buffalo Bulls
Balanced · 46% run
Avg pace
Miami (OH) RedHawks
Balanced · 54% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 49 rush ypg
Pete Lembo · 17-20 · defense-minded
Chuck Martin · 70-64 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Buffalo Bulls
WR
Chance Morrow
18 rec · 221 yds · 5 TD
#6 WR
LB
SaVeon Brown
16 tkl · 1.0 TFL
#66 LB
LB
Stevie Bracey
16 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#118 LB
DL
Logan Goodwin
2 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL
#231 DL
Miami (OH) RedHawks
QB
David McComb
474 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT
#62 QB
WR
Damarion Witten
3 rec · 100 yds · 2 TD
#203 WR
TE
Christian Ross
4 rec · 52 yds · 1 TD
#81 TE
WR
Lynel Billups-Williams
8 rec · 104 yds · 1 TD
#266 WR
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Buffalo offense vs Miami (OH) defense-4.0 pts
Miami (OH) offense vs Buffalo defense+3.7 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.