← Matchups

Western Michigan

MAC · 1-1 · power +16.8 · #49
Our numberWMU -10.1 no book has priced this game

Akron

MAC · 1-1 · power +2.3 · #149
Our side
MoneylineWMU to win ours 22%
Projected score 29–19 WMU – AKR
2026-11-10 · 7:00 PM InfoCision Stadium · Akron, OH MAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Western Michigan lead 16–4 · 20 meetings since 1975
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game even 43 ranks apart
Western Michigan Broncos #105 rush offense Akron Zips #62 run defense
Pass game edge Akron Zips 113 ranks
Western Michigan Broncos #235 pass offense Akron Zips #122 pass defense
Run game edge Western Michigan Broncos 168 ranks
Akron Zips #215 rush offense Western Michigan Broncos #47 run defense
Pass game edge Western Michigan Broncos 150 ranks
Akron Zips #201 pass offense Western Michigan Broncos #51 pass defense
Western Michigan Broncos Run-heavy · 69% run Ball-control Dual-threat QB · 72 rush ypg Akron Zips Balanced · 50% run Ball-control
Lance Taylor · 20-19 · defense-minded Joe Moorhead · 27-47 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Western Michigan Broncos
DL Austin Alexander 6 tkl #111 DL
K Dieter Kelly 4 FG · 7 XP · 19 pts #29 K
DB Joey Pope 9 tkl · 3 PD #232 DB
LB Domanick Moon 13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL #166 LB
Akron Zips
TE Elijah Alexander 7 rec · 61 yds · 3 TD #9 TE
QB Cibastian Broughton 338 pass yds · 4 TD · 0 INT #17 QB
DL Omari Abor 8 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #84 DL
RB Sean Patrick 100 rush yds · 6 rec #134 RB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Western Michigan BroncosMAC +16.8 +3.4 +13.4 #49
Akron ZipsMAC +2.3 +1.9 +0.4 #149

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Western Michigan offense vs Akron defense+3.0 pts
Akron offense vs Western Michigan defense-11.5 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 3 more days rest

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.

Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them. Adding them again would double-count.