← Matchups

Kent State

MAC · 1-1 · power -1.3 · #190
Our numberBGSU -0.6 no book has priced this game

Bowling Green

MAC · 0-2 · power -1.8 · #194
Our side
MoneylineBGSU to win ours 53%
Projected score 26–27 KENT – BGSU
2026-11-10 · 7:00 PM Doyt L. Perry Stadium · Bowling Green, OH MAC game Early season

The books

No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.

Series Bowling Green lead 47–16 · 63 meetings since 1962
2025 unit ranks — last completed season, from games actually played
Run game edge Bowling Green Falcons 127 ranks
Kent State Golden Flashes #255 rush offense Bowling Green Falcons #128 run defense
Pass game edge Kent State Golden Flashes 48 ranks
Kent State Golden Flashes #143 pass offense Bowling Green Falcons #191 pass defense
Run game even 9 ranks apart
Bowling Green Falcons #188 rush offense Kent State Golden Flashes #197 run defense
Pass game edge Kent State Golden Flashes 55 ranks
Bowling Green Falcons #199 pass offense Kent State Golden Flashes #144 pass defense
Kent State Golden Flashes Balanced · 57% run Ball-control Bowling Green Falcons Run-heavy · 63% run Ball-control
Mark Carney · 5-7 Eddie George · 4-8 · defense-minded

Ranked by team-unit strength (rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265 D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the 2025 season.

The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above

Who carried each team in 2025
Kent State Golden Flashes
DL Jaihien Roy 6 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.0 TFL #51 DL
LB Rocco Nicholl 13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL #145 LB
LB Hayden Dawahare 10 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL #234 LB
QB Dru DeShields 311 pass yds · 1 TD · 2 INT #102 QB
Bowling Green Falcons
DB Kal-El Pascal 22 tkl · 1 PD #29 DB
LB Dorian Pringle 23 tkl · 1.5 TFL #41 LB
TE Jeremiah Scoby 12 rec · 121 yds #25 TE
DB JoJo Johnson 9 tkl · 1 INT #359 DB

Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no 2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.

Power breakdown
TeamPowerOffDefRank
Kent State Golden FlashesMAC -1.3 +3.2 -4.6 #190
Bowling Green FalconsMAC -1.8 -6.9 +5.1 #194

Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).

Where the number comes from
Kent State offense vs Bowling Green defense-1.9 pts
Bowling Green offense vs Kent State defense-2.3 pts

An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.