Our side
MoneylineOHIO to win
ours 65%
Projected score
22–30
BALL – OHIO
2026-11-17 · 7:00 PM
Peden Stadium · Athens, OH
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Ball State lead
16–13
· 29 meetings since 1975
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
edge Ohio Bobcats
115 ranks
Ball State Cardinals #225 rush offense
Ohio Bobcats #110 run defense
Pass game
edge Ohio Bobcats
157 ranks
Ball State Cardinals #262 pass offense
Ohio Bobcats #105 pass defense
Run game
edge Ohio Bobcats
154 ranks
Ohio Bobcats #66 rush offense
Ball State Cardinals #220 run defense
Pass game
even
43 ranks apart
Ohio Bobcats #155 pass offense
Ball State Cardinals #198 pass defense
Ball State Cardinals
Run-heavy · 62% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 50 rush ypg
Ohio Bobcats
Run-heavy · 62% run
Avg pace
Dual-threat QB · 70 rush ypg
Mike Uremovich · 4-8 · defense-minded
John Hauser · 1-0
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Ball State Cardinals
DB
Anthony Pinnace
6 tkl · 1 PD
#261 DB
TE
Tate Hoover
6 rec · 23 yds · 1 TD
#70 TE
RB
Jalen Bonds
86 rush yds · 1 TD · 2 rec
#211 RB
DB
Kamron Chamble
4 tkl · 2 INT
#507 DB
Ohio Bobcats
DL
Ike Ackerman
13 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 2.0 TFL
#34 DL
DL
Tyler Gillison
6 tkl · 1.5 TFL
#117 DL
WR
Riley Neer
10 rec · 142 yds · 2 TD
#74 WR
LB
Jack Fries
19 tkl · 0.5 TFL
#82 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Ball State offense vs Ohio defense-2.5 pts
Ohio offense vs Ball State defense+2.0 pts
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.