Our side
MoneylineWMU to win
ours 91%
Projected score
12–35
EMU – WMU
2026-11-17 · 7:00 PM
Waldo Stadium · Kalamazoo, MI
MAC game
Early season
The books
No book has priced this game. Nothing to compare, and no ticket to build.
Series
Western Michigan lead
33–17–1
· 51 meetings since 1974
2025 unit ranks —
last completed season, from games actually played
Run game
even
28 ranks apart
Eastern Michigan Eagles #75 rush offense
Western Michigan Broncos #47 run defense
Pass game
edge Western Michigan Broncos
58 ranks
Eastern Michigan Eagles #109 pass offense
Western Michigan Broncos #51 pass defense
Run game
edge Western Michigan Broncos
124 ranks
Western Michigan Broncos #105 rush offense
Eastern Michigan Eagles #229 run defense
Pass game
even
42 ranks apart
Western Michigan Broncos #235 pass offense
Eastern Michigan Eagles #193 pass defense
Eastern Michigan Eagles
Balanced · 52% run
Avg pace
Western Michigan Broncos
Run-heavy · 69% run
Ball-control
Dual-threat QB · 72 rush ypg
Chris Creighton · 59-73 · offense-minded
Lance Taylor · 20-19 · defense-minded
Ranked by team-unit strength
(rush & pass offense vs. run & pass defense) across all 265
D1 teams, not by individual players. Identity, tempo and unit strength are measured from the
2025 season.
The evidence 2025 production and power ratings · supporting the number above
Who carried each team in 2025
Eastern Michigan Eagles
LB
Zach Mowchan
30 tkl · 2.0 TFL
#6 LB
DL
Quincy Byas
12 tkl · 2.0 sacks · 3.0 TFL
#18 DL
DB
Jason Marshall
20 tkl · 2 PD · 1 INT
#41 DB
DB
Bryce Llewellyn
14 tkl · 2 PD
#67 DB
Western Michigan Broncos
DL
Austin Alexander
6 tkl
#111 DL
K
Dieter Kelly
4 FG · 7 XP · 19 pts
#29 K
DB
Joey Pope
9 tkl · 3 PD
#232 DB
LB
Domanick Moon
13 tkl · 1.0 sacks · 1.5 TFL
#166 LB
Top-rated players from last season, ranked within their
position across D1. A grade measures what a player produced, and no
2026 game has been played yet — so this is who produced for
these programs in 2025, not a claim about who is on the field this year.
Power breakdown
Def is higher = better. The projection assumes a 2.4-pt home edge (0 at neutral sites).
Where the number comes from
Eastern Michigan offense vs Western Michigan defense-17.5 pts
Western Michigan offense vs Eastern Michigan defense+3.1 pts
Rest · context onlyAway team on 6 more days rest
An efficiency adjustment from season-to-date EPA and success rate applies once teams have
played enough games; before then it is 0 and the number is the power rating alone.
Situational spots are shown for context, not baked in: travel, altitude and rest
were tested against 6,000+ games and the power and efficiency ratings already account for them.
Adding them again would double-count.